Netherlands vs Poland: prediction & betting odds 4 September 2025

The Matchday 5 World Cup 2026 qualifying clash between the Netherlands and Poland will take place on September 4 at the Feyenoord Stadium in Rotterdam. Netherlands vs. Poland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Netherlands

The team kicked off their qualification campaign in June, easily defeating Finland (2-0) and Malta (8-0). Due to fewer matches played, they currently sit second in Group G, trailing leaders Finland, who have played two more games, by just one point. Notably, Ronald Koeman's side has won 9 of their last 11 World Cup qualifiers, drawing the other two.

• The team has kept clean sheets in 5 of their last 6 World Cup qualifiers.
• The Netherlands boast a 9-match winning streak at home in qualifiers.
• They have scored at least 2 goals in their last 9 home World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Netherlands (4-4-2)

Mark Flekken – Denzel Dumfries, Jurriën Timber, Virgil van Dijk, Nathan Aké – Tijjani Reijnders, Ryan Gravenberch, Frenkie de Jong, Jan Paul van Hecke – Memphis Depay, Cody Gakpo.

Poland

Poland currently sits third in the group with 6 points from 3 matches. The team overcame the underdogs at the start of the qualifiers, defeating Lithuania (1-0) and Malta (2-0) at home. However, they lost 1-2 to Finland in their last outing, leading to the dismissal of Michal Probierz. This defeat ended their 3-match winning streak in World Cup qualifying, during which they had kept clean sheets.

Forward Robert Lewandowski has returned to the squad following the appointment of Jan Urban as head coach.

• A maximum of 3 goals have been scored in Poland's last 5 World Cup qualifiers.
• Poland has avoided defeat in 9 of their last 11 World Cup qualifying matches (8 wins, 1 draw).
• Both teams have scored in 6 of Poland's last 7 away World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Poland (4-4-2)

Kamil Grabara – Jakub Kiwior, Jan Bednarek, Przemyslaw Wisniewski, Matty Cash – Kamil Grosicki, Nicola Zalewski, Sebastian Szymanski, Bartosz Slisz – Robert Lewandowski, Adam Buksa.

Referee

Simone Sozza (Italy)

Matches – 15 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 68;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties – 47%.

Netherlands vs. Poland: Match Prediction

Historically, Poland has struggled against this opponent. In the 21st century, the teams have met in 5 official matches, with Poland managing only one draw, while the Netherlands won the other 4 encounters. The Polish team is notably weaker against Europe's top sides and has struggled even against the continent's underdogs, as seen in the current qualifiers.

I expect the hosts to secure a convincing victory and take the lead in the group. I anticipate at least two goals from the Netherlands. The team has scored two or more goals in their last 9 home World Cup qualifying matches, conceding only 2 goals in that stretch. In June, Poland conceded two goals to modest Finland.

My prediction: Netherlands to win and ITB1 1.5